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Looking to Bet On NFL TotalsFor the smart sports betting player, to bet on NFL totals can set him apart from the mindless masses and their parlays based on hype, overreaction, and intellectual incest. To bet on NFL totals, while a more popular activity than it was a decade ago, is still the smart player’s way to have an edge. Totals simply do not draw the action and attention of sides, which are the sucker’s preferred choice in pro football. While to bet on NFL totals is a way to gain an edge, one must take a sober, measured and intelligent approach. The first thing the intelligent sports betting player does NOT want to do is hyperventilate over such factors as weather reports, injuries, etc. It is imperative to realize that the linemaker gets the weather channel and injury reports that the rest of us get, and thus adjusts his line accordingly. It is snowing or raining, rest assured that the linemaker will not only lower his total to adjust, he will also lower it even more than is justified because of the public perception and overreaction. Factors such as foul weather and injured key skill players are actually a good time to consider swimming up stream and going contrarian when we bet on NFL totals. We can all recall times when some clown at the sportsbook ran his mouth about a huge bet on an “under” game in the snow that ended up going way over the number. By the same token it is important not to load up on the over when a pair of high-powered offensive teams with weak defenses meet up. A playoff game between the St Louis Rams and Seattle Seahawks tempted many a sports betting player to go ‘over’-board and get burned. The linemaker was ready, posting a total of 51, which the two teams failed to clear. When we bet on NFL totals, the smart player will detach himself from the public hype, avoid pre game shows, and think independently. As is usually the case in gambling, the gems must be uncovered in the rough, the quiet plays are often the best ones, and the general assumptions generally fail to materialize. There is no one factor that is key when we bet on NFL totals. To come
out on the plus side one must do his homework, and yet not get too involved
in miniscule details. KISS=Keep it simple, stupid. Too many times, sports
betting players end up over-analyzing games that can be broken down
with a few simple core principles such as a coach’s/team’s
offensive/defensive style, previous performances and streaks (don’t
bet against them, you can only lose once riding them). Division rivalry
games often follow the same patterns year after year and are worth considering
as reliable barometers as well. U.S. Citizens. Use of this information in violation of any federal, state or local laws is prohibited. © 2010 - All Rights Reserved |