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Bet on NFL Halftimes
NFL Halftime betting continues to gain popularity as many bettors around
the world are becoming more Internet capable, and more sportsbooks are
putting up lines. When you bet on NFL halftime lines, betting lines
for 2nd halves of NFL games are usually pretty easy to estimate. For
the most part the oddsmakers just divide the original line for the game
in half and adjust a little bit depending upon the score. The problem
for oddsmakers in doing it so simply is that they did not spend enough
time making the line. In their defense, there is not a lot of time to
make 2nd half lines for those that want to bet on NFL halftimes. Halftimes
are only about 15 minutes long but the oddsmakers only have the first
couple of minutes of that time to make their line. Usually when you
have to post a number with so little time to assess everything, there
is substantial room for error. That gives sharp players a possible advantage
over the books when they look to bet on NFL halftimes, and makes playing
halftimes very attractive.
What can we look for in past statistics to give us an idea of how teams
do in certain situations? We first will base the statistics on the oddsmaker
dividing the bet on NFL game line in half to make the 2nd half line.
And remember that is usually what happens; give a point or so, regardless
of the score. How often does the team that has the lead cover the spread
in the 2nd half? Not as often as you might think.
Overall the team with the lead has only covered the 2nd half line about
43% of the time. Favorites in this situation are the real problem as
they are just above 40%. Even underdogs that are leading at the half
don’t have a winning ATS record either. They are just under 50%.
The bigger the lead a team enjoys at the half the worse they perform.
That makes total sense when it comes to the NFL. Favorites don’t
cover as well as dogs, and it translates into 2nd half betting as well.
We do have to remember that the oddsmaker is going to adjust a little
bit in the 2nd half based on a team having a big lead, but the adjustment
is not as much as you might think. Oddsmakers still rely mainly on the
full line for the game, not what happened in the first half. That is
why you often see a lot of line movement when big bettors see a weakness
in a bet on NFL halftime line. That does not mean they always win, but
it does mean that more often than not they have better information than
the person who made the line. You have to remember how hard it is for
a bookmaker to set an NFL line in just a few minutes time, especially
if multiple games are ending at the same time. Mistakes are going to
be made and when they are, bettors are ready to strike.
NFL halftime betting will continue to gain popularity as Internet gambling
continues to grow. The biggest tip we can remember when betting NFL
halftimes is very similar to the biggest overall NFL tip, and that is
to take the underdog.
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